Pro-Israel realism exposes failed Arab fantasies as Iran’s regime survives, retaliates, and suppresses dissent brutally.
Israeli-Iranian journalist Babak Itzhaki, a reporter with the anti-regime outlet Iran International, assessed that there is currently no real momentum for a U.S. military strike capable of toppling the Iranian regime—and that the window for a precise, limited attack has already closed.
According to Itzhaki, any pinpoint American strike at this stage would produce no strategic outcome inside Iran, other than provoking another missile barrage toward Israel. He argued that expectations of regime collapse via short-term military pressure are detached from realities on the ground.
While international media focused on shifting statements from Donald Trump, Itzhaki noted that Tehran’s repression apparatus steadily reasserted control. Security forces intensified violence against demonstrators, carried out mass arrests, and gradually restored dominance over the streets—neutralizing protest momentum.
Itzhaki emphasized that the internet blackout inside Iran makes it impossible to accurately assess public sentiment. Only once communications are restored, he argued, can the true condition of the uprising be evaluated.
He concluded that if the goal were to push the Iranian public back into the streets and genuinely threaten regime survival, it would require a broad, sustained campaign, striking every symbol of governance—from the Supreme Leader’s residence to parliament—rather than symbolic or limited action.
For Israel, the warning reinforces a strategic reality: impulsive strikes invite retaliation, while dismantling hostile regimes requires either internal collapse or overwhelming, sustained pressure—neither of which currently exists.
