Survey underscores strong Jewish leadership as fragmented opposition and Arab factions struggle for influence today.
A new political poll indicates that if elections were held today, the Likud party would remain Israel’s largest political force, though it would gain only one additional Knesset seat. The survey, conducted for Maariv, projects Likud winning 27 seats, maintaining a clear lead over all competing parties in the Israeli parliament.
Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s emerging political movement would secure 21 seats, positioning it as the second-largest faction. In third place would be MK Gadi Eisenkot’s newly formed “Yashar!” party with 14 seats, reflecting a notable presence in the center of Israel’s political landscape.
The joint “Democrats” alliance, created through a merger between Labor and Meretz, is expected to obtain 10 seats. Otzma Yehudit would receive nine seats, while the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party Shas and Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beytenu would each win eight.
Ashkenazic ultra-Orthodox United Torah Judaism would retain seven seats, while Yesh Atid would drop to six seats according to the poll. Among Arab factions, Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am would each receive five seats, continuing their presence but remaining largely outside Israel’s governing coalitions.
Several parties would fail to cross the electoral threshold, including the “Reservists,” Religious Zionism, Blue and White, and Balad, meaning they would not enter the Knesset if elections were held under the same conditions.
When divided into political blocs, the current governing coalition would secure 51 seats, while the anti-Netanyahu camp would reach 59 seats. The remaining 10 seats would belong to Arab parties, which traditionally remain outside governing coalitions in Israel’s political system.
