New poll shows Netanyahu’s coalition sinking to 48 seats while Bennett resurges, reshaping Israel’s political battlefield and empowering anti-Netanyahu blocs.
Israel’s political landscape has been jolted by a new Lazar Research poll for Maariv, revealing a dramatic collapse in support for the current coalition while former PM Naftali Bennett surges back into relevance.
According to the survey, if elections were held today, the coalition would secure just 48 seats, far short of the 61 needed to govern—handing the anti-Netanyahu bloc a decisive advantage.
Likud Weakens, Bennett Reborn
The poll shows Likud sinking to only 24 seats, tying with Bennett’s unexpected political comeback—his new party also projected at 24 seats. This marks one of the weakest showings for Likud in years and a stunning re-entry for Bennett after his previous exit from political life.
Leftist “Democrats” Rise to Second Place
The newly merged Labor–Meretz “Democrats” score an eye-catching 11 seats, propelling them into second place and reshaping the ideological spectrum.
A Tight Midfield Battle
Three parties fight for third place with 9 seats each:
- Yesh Atid
- Yisrael Beytenu
- Gadi Eisenkot’s new party, “Yashar!”
Haredi & Right-Wing Camps Hold Ground
- Shas: 8
- UTJ: 8
- Otzma Yehudit: 8
These parties remain stable but are not enough to counter broader coalition losses.
Arab Parties Minimal but Steady
- Hadash–Ta’al: 5
- Ra’am: 5
As usual, Arab parties remain outside both coalition blocs.
Multiple Parties Fail the Threshold
Several factions fall out entirely, including:
- Blue and White
- Balad
- Yoav Hendel’s “Reservists”
- Religious Zionism
A major setback for ideological right-wing voters worried about fragmentation.
Bloc Breakdown: A Clear Anti-Netanyahu Majority
- Coalition bloc: 48 seats
- Anti-Netanyahu bloc: 62 seats
- Arab parties (not joining coalitions): 10 seats
With these numbers, the anti-Netanyahu camp has more than enough seats to form a government—rendering the coalition’s footing extremely vulnerable.
This poll presents a sobering political reality: the right-wing camp is bleeding votes internally while the opposition consolidates power, raising the stakes as Israel inches closer to its next electoral showdown.
